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Old 30th April 2014, 07:55 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Wink Home Track Advantage?

If a horse is trained at a track and then races on that same track, is that an advantage? You know: familiar faces, scenery, close to the stable, no travelling involved etc....lol

Well I took a little over two years results and randomly picked a handful of tracks. The results are interesting:

Sometimes the Home track improves Strike Rate, but not POT e.g. Geelong Synthetic

Sometimes the Home Track is of no advantage, from a Strike Rate point of view, but POT improves e.g. Ballarat, Caloundra & Gosford

Sometimes The Home track improves the Strike Rate and POT e.g Albury

Then I applied a price filter, and only considered odds/on selections. That places a different dynamic on the whole thing, and drives home the point that there is a reason that every horse wins or loses, just a matter of finding which combination of filters?
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