30th July 2004, 11:11 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
|
|
I did about 50 tests on past results...have not tested it on live bets as i have to write up a compleat excel sheet for that.....in all the test i did the trifecta paid more than the formulas prediction....with out doing major tests i would say this is much more accurate....i just had a look at one of those races that had a short priced winner and a couple of long priced placers
today Weribee race 1
10-1.80
4-1.90 (win 9.70)
12-5.80 (win 32.00)
using yor method this would be 1.80x9.70x32.00=$558.72
using the method outlined above and the way i wrote the formula up the results are
1.80-1=0.80
9.70-1=8.70
32.00-1=31.00
(0.80x8.70)-1=5.96
31.00+1
(0.8x5.96x32.00)/(0.8+1)=$84.76
trifecta paid $153.60
a couple of more tests
Weribee race 2 trifecta paid $253.40 formula estimated $206.46
Tamworth race 1 trifecta paid $726.70
formula estimated $490.59
Canberra race 1 trifecta paid $24.70
formula estimated $15.89
[ This Message was edited by: Shaun on 2004-07-30 12:59 ]
|