
27th June 2002, 09:27 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bendigo
Posts: 236
|
|
I can't find much statistical info on placegetters (as opposed to winners) so I've compiled some figures from my small selection of old form guides. Sample is small but some trends are apparent and should hold good in a larger sample. Looking at 200 metro races, no 2yo, no hurdles or sprints:
AVERAGE PLACE PERCENTAGE
Average place percentage of placegetters = 48.78%
PLACEGETTERS WITHIN SIXTH LAST START
Last start winners = 32% of placegetters
Last start second = 14%
Last start third = 19%
Last start fourth = 16%
Last start fifth = 10%
Last start sixth = 9%
AVERAGE DAYS SINCE LAST RUN
31 days.
LAST START IMPROVERS
Last result was better than or equal to second last result = 69.6% of placegetters.
NINES
Best three of last four starts adds to nine or less. (eg. 3 x third = 9) A "Nines" horse has score of nine or less.
57.7% of placegetters = nines horse.
More stats as I compile them
Hope its helpful to someone
Cheers
Hermes
|