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Old 29th April 2014, 04:37 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
CP
Are there other tracks in Oz which display the same characteristics?


I'll give just one example of many of how this information can be used for success, i.e. thinking outside the square.

Take Perth metro tracks, Ascot and Belmont.

Each track has it's own quirks, and therefore horses that win at Ascot are not the same as horses that win at Belmont.
Horses that are able to reel off fast final sectionals at Ascot are far superior to similar horses at Belmont.
That theory being true and correct should be played out in the stats.

Taking final race sectionals for 1200m races at both venues and looking at the horses next starts we come up with this...

Last start winners over 1200m racing again within 30 days AND sectional times less than 35 seconds....

Belmont
553 selections
132 winners
23.87% Strike Rate
-12.28% POT

Ascot
397 selections
121 winners
30.48% Strike Rate
13.44% POT

We haven't even looked at track going, or class.
This is bare bones stats only for 1200m races.

Armed with this information we can come up with horses to lay and horses to back and a pretty comprehensive package of stats and selections when applied to all tracks that record race sectionals over various distances and going.

Hopefully that's just a small demonstration of digging a little bit deeper.
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