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19th August 2004, 10:00 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
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Hi
I have been looking at these 100 point ratings for some time. Betting them all is a loss. chasing the loss is a complete no-no.There is no distinct pattern that i could see outright. Some meetings show a great strike rate whereas others are barren.
One series i did over eight weeks showed good profit in the SP up to $5 and a loss from $5 to $8.50 gaining on more than $8.50.
Six weeks later I did the exercise again for a week and blew it. There is a distinct preference to country meetings and a marginal preference to the first race.
The only way i can see persistant gains from the 100 pointers is to undergo through reseasrch then eliminate the consistant underperforming venues race types or going.
This way you may come back with say Newcastle tuesday Wednesday Thursday and Sunday on good fast or dead tracks up to 2000m average 50% win 80%place 80%POT or Gold coast any heavy going all races 90%POT and Flemington <1400m 80% LOT. It may even extend to include the barrier draws ie only barriers 1,2,&3. 6 to 12 runners only etc
This would involve a lot of effort but ultimately it could produce a set of rules specific to each course which when applied gave a winning edge to a simple selection process
Regards Beton
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