A 1600 race at Ascot is different to a 1600 race at Randwick. Each track and distance has it's own characteristics. The barrier may be the key factor, the leader at the turn may be the key factor. The jockey in this particular race may be the key factor. What happens on a good surface may not occur on a heavy surface. So you need to get the factors for that distance at that track at that surface for that field size.

Then you need to compare the runners including the little bloke on the back. Just because it is classed a a A Lister party does not mean that is a A Lister party if on the contestants of Australian Idol turn up. After you have assessed the class of race with the class of the field and rated them, then you must see how they will suit the race (the track, the distance, the barrier, the fieldsize at that track etc)

Only then can you look at the money and that is 2 parts. Your estimate and what the market says.

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"God made man in his image". He then went to great lengths to ensure that each and every person was unique. God then pondered and said "I will call these human, as very few will rise from the herd to be called individual" http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ttons/quote.gif