I didn't get to post my selections this Saturday but I did poorly like thekey and also testarossa, placegetters and others. My "sure things" were:

Rosehill

Race 3 #1 Timidity
Race 4 #4 Mr Attorney
#7 Kerouac
Race 6 #Etoile Bleue
Race 8 #Oakfield Duke

Vic Park

Race 4 #1 Zedimbi
Race 6 #1 Ex-Files

I ruined Mr Attorney - otherwise a good win - by backing Kerouac in the same race - couldn't separate 'em on my selection method.

Crash! A bad day. I'm prepared to put it down to a batch of bad selections rather than just bad luck and then try to learn from it. In hindsight now I can see the shortcomings of each of them. Glib selections, I think. Or lazy selections, I tell myself. Oakfield Duke, for instance, due for a loss, poor barrier, etc. Should have looked a lot closer.

Timidity was the first horse in recorded history to meet ALL my selection parameters - miserable.

I really thought I'd picked the best of the best horses this Saturday. Most of 'em lost. Most of 'em unplaced! In most cases it was because they were not, in fact, the best horses. I was wrong. So
a bad Saturday all round, but there were good lessons to be learnt. The best horse doesn't always win the race but if I lose it is still much more likely that the best horse did win but I didn't pick the best horse.

Conclusion: Plenty of room for improvement in my selection system!

Advice gratefully received!

Hermes