Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Hate to be the party pooper, but you need to do the maths with Lay prices before you buy the Ferrari. It's easy to fall into the trap of thinking that a big loss on the Back side translates to a big win on the Lay side. For example, I've grabbed a couple of months results (232 selections) for laying the #1 Price rank, #1 Vol rank, #1 SKY rank, # 1 Neural rank. It showed a -10.6 liability loss for the Layer.
However using Back prices less commission , a -1.68 liability loss for the Backers. See, the ************s still get their cut!
I got sucked in once, subscribing to a Ratings service that uses Betfair WAP to calculate profit/loss on strategies. Looked good, until you find out that WAP and SP can vary as much as 40%. Please be sure to back test with the right price, is all I'm saying
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All results are there 18months of them winners prices listed,
L/O/T listed sequences of bets, average dividend biggest dividend,
What the selection method was where the bets happened has absolutely,
Nothing to do with what you surveyed with skyform so you reckon a plan,
Like this & others that are worse with zero or 1 winner cannot win.
You do not need 10,000 lay bets to prove whether something,
Wins or loses it is
how and
what you are interpreting as to a win -loss.
Tell you what I will give you these selections & you can back them with
ME.
Will give you best of 4.
TOP FLUCT.
ANY BETFAIR DIVIDEND YOU WANT.
B/O3 OR S/P.
Or whatever is better than the above.
Just ask and I will email you exactly this plan.
No premium charge nothing just a straight bet.
Cant wait for this that loses 80% plus to turn,
Into a profit I will put my balls on the line to see.
I know how the selections are derived where & what they perform in,
And the chances of it succeeding in the future as with all the panels.
Especially the types of races you will be backing them in.
Read my first two lines in post-38.