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5th October 2015, 03:54 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,455
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Backing Overs
Now i know in the past i have been one to knock those that will only look for value and back overs, i have been giving this some thought and wonder how i would go just backing overs in all races, i am not talking my top 2 or 3 selections but the whole field and just backing those that exceed say 20% above my price and backing them to my prices.
Above all i know is when i get the ratings correct the prices reflect the chances, yes they are not always accurate and i get dismayed at how they perform at times but i am rock solid that i have my pricing model correct, sounds strange i can have 110% faith in the prices but not always the ratings themselves as the ratings dictate the prices.
I guess it depends on how many runners i end up backing per race and the prices i get, i may need some sort of cut off point, any thoughts on this idea welcome.
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