Butternut,

I gave you an answer. It was based on mathematics.

You bleat when no one praises your wizardry (????) and no one answers your email requests.

More than one contributor has helped out but you still don't get it. I'm not s stirring, I'm trying to help you as you need it.

5 17% winning prospects do not have an 85% chance of cracking one winner. That misguided logic would mean that 6 17% prospects have 102% chance of one winner which even to a simpleton cannot make sense.

Only trying to help. I will do as you say and go away as I'm afraid you appear beyond help.

One last piece of advice. Give up the punt and get into macrame or something else - you have neither the mental agility nor the temperament to make a go of gambling.