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30th June 2016, 05:30 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,496
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History repeats itself. Short odds favs are over bet historically. Going forward short priced favs will be over bet again.
This whole system is flawed as it doesn't take into account anything which
1) gives you value
2) no (positive) backtest results have been posted
3) is a prime candidate for long term losing based on biases in the market.
I can tell you right now based on my own backtest results you are going to lose between 8% and 11% long term.
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