Quote:
Originally Posted by walkermac
Oct 8 - HERBERT POWER STAKES (2400m G2 Qlty; 1st-3rd)
(Accepted: Prince of Penzance - 2nd in Order of Entry, Howard Be Thy Name - 23rd; Need to finish top 3: Assign, Dandy Gent, Master Zephyr, Pemberley)
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Prince of Penzance out for the season and likely retired. Hence, all horses bar Almandin (with ballot exemption) go up a place in the Order of Entry.
Assign, one of the 3 needing a top 3 finish (after Master Zephyr was scratched) won and gained a 1kg penalty. This takes him to 27th in the Order of Entry and foremost of those on 54kg, likely needing some further dropouts to advance.
No penalty for Pemberley, despite only finishing 0.4L back in 3rd. On the positive side, this means he has passed the ballot clause and is in 35th place (though ahead only of Manndawi and Arab Dawn - and those yet to pass the first ballot clause).
Pemberley will rise one further position as Antonio Guiseppe has been announced as heading to the paddock on account of muscle damage. Back for Autumn 2017.
This weekend there are the following notable races:
Oct 15 - BMW CAULFIELD CUP
30 nominations (field limit of 18). Only 6 of the nominees aren't also in line for the Melbourne Cup.
Oct 15 - CITY TATT'S CLUB CUP
13 nominations presently, but they've been extended 'til tomorrow morning. Grand Marshall, Who Shot Thebarman and Sacred Master are the only Melbourne Cup potentials in the field (all of whom were also nominated in the Caulfield Cup). Only Sacred Master is in danger of missing the Melbourne Cup, presently at 28th in the Order. Winning just this race isn't enough to advance his ranking. A 0.5kg penalty would see him get to 26th (any higher would require an unlikely 1.5kg penalty). A top 4 finish - with no penalty - in the Caulfield Cup (in which he's at 23rd in the order) would nudge him ahead of Assign and into 27th. A (hopefully) comprehensive victory here would seem the better option; if only the Melbourne Cup was the long-term view (otherwise there's a 10 in 18 chance of winning $75k or more in the CC, vs a 1 in x chance in the Tatt's Club Cup)