5th January 2017, 09:34 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 59
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Neil
The aim is to back winning favourites at odds higher than the long term winning percentage of favourites.
It operates on Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide Saturday metropolitan meetings.
Using a good form guide with reliable pre post betting odds, back the favourite that has the highest pre post betting odds. If there are 2 favourites selected by this rule, then back them both. With 3 or more give the meeting a miss.
What I have noticed is that actual betting odds can vary quite wildly from these pre post odds.
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Neil, something to think about ........
There needs to be some incorporation of Field Size in your assessment.
EXAMPLE USING FAVOURITES:
Field.....WSR.......TAB
8..........35.33.....2.50
9..........32.95.....2.64
10........32.15.....2.83
11........29.00.....2.99
12........28.15.....3.03
13........27.21.....3.22
14........26.68.....3.27
Sample: 190,924 Saturday Metro races, all Going, All distances.
Other than that I reckon your approach is well founded.
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