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8th August 2017, 08:33 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,496
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beberrycareful
have always wondered if the strike-rate for top weights is lower on wet tracks as compared to dry?
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well wonder no more :
Good Tracks: Loss of 2.2% and 14.98% Strike Rate (16515 selections)
Wet Tracks : Profit of 5.8% and 14.81% Strike Rate (7379 selections)
Used Aus tracks only as Wet is very different in different countries.
So there you go top weights in the wet actually produce a profit because like you most people percieve the wet track hurts them but in reality its only a 0.2% difference of 1 - 2 horses per 1000 top weights which lose compared to the dry tracks.
But hey keep it a secret ... don't want others knowing these important stats.
Betfair SP prices used for analysis.
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