Quote:
On 2004-09-04 11:27, Mr J wrote:
Mo make up your mind. You are always saying this way or that way is how you profit...one day it's using your gut, the next it's analysing playing styles???
However, anything to do with your gut does not provide an advantage.
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You're right Mr J.
I certainly do keep changing my mind a lot.And I appreciate you pointing out this fact to me.
What I am doing is trying to come up with a system that works.
But I keep changing the rules before the ink has dried on the previous one.
But I would like to point out that it is the selection methods that I continually modify,but not the mathematically sound reasons for backing them.
My formulas work and work well,but I still have to investigate Jakelees input further.
As to the Vibe and the Gut factor.Sorry,but they do work.They are hard to incorporate into a computer program.
Things like a coaches inappropriate smile at an interview,bragging by certain players or punters(M/P),opinions of well respected judges.Heaps of other ******** like that.
It all goes into our minds and gets churned up and means different things to each of us.
And that's the edge we have available to each of us.Interpreting these bits and pieces correctly.
2 points here and 1 point there and 4 points there can make a big difference to bet or not.
Yes I do change my mind a lot but being stubborn in a losing method is not my style.
But I can assure you I have had losing years because I changed styles in the wrong direction.
Thank you for you input.It helps me get back to present time and realize I have strayed once more.
One comment about the available data.A lot better men than I have spent many hours and analyzed this data and formed a market.Surely in my feeble attempts at analyzing this data,I couldn't possibly come up with something more accurate in a few hours.