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On 2002-07-04 16:38, Rob wrote:
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On 2002-07-04 15:54, Equine Investor wrote:
huh? Your sentence was not logical. Prizemoney won relates to golf not swimming!!!!! It says he was a damn fine golf player. I think you're comparing apples with bits of dirt.
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Yes, perhaps badly worded on my part Rob,however my point was prizemoney says that a horse can run fast times and beat other horses when the pressure is on, even at times overcome bad luck to win a race and beat horses of a certain class. It says nothing about it's ability to carry weight....unless it has carried and won with the same weight previously!
As for my stats...and I stress it's a small sample:-
Of 224 metro races (Saturdays only) there were 46 runners who were handicapped above 58kgs. That is not to say they actually may have carried less with apprentice claims.
Of the 46 runners (some of which were in the same races) there were 8 winners.
Which gives a win % of 17.39%
The average dividend of the winners was $5.28
Very small sample but indicative of results.
With only 8 out of 42 being successful I think conclusions can be drawn even though this is a little higher than average.What one has to bear in mind, is that some of the winners were NOT the topweight in the race, they were actually second topweight and still carried more than 58kg.
Following on from that, would love to know what the stats are on favourites, which have the highest prizemoney in the race and carry the topweight. Could be an interesting exercise. Unfortunately I don't have the resources to filter out all three stats in the results.
[ This Message was edited by: Equine Investor on 2002-07-04 17:46 ]