SEPTEMBER 11
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Decided to only include the very strongest selections in my tipping today. The other races performed VERY poorly yesterday.

E.Farm Race 6*
13 Winsome Dancer $25 ---
1 Secret Gift 45 ---
1,2,13 - 1,2,3,5,8,13 WON $124.90 (F4 $244.70)
1,8,13 - 1,2,3,5,8,13 --- (F4 ---)

Rosehill Race 2*
5 Restless Wind $45 ---
1 Stormhill $25 ---
1,3,5 - 1,2,3,4,5,9 WON $181.05
1,3,5 - 1,3,4,5,7,9 WON $181.05

Rosehill Race 4*
3 Yiassou Sydney $50 ---
4 Ocho $20 ---
3,4,6 - 1,2,3,4,6,11 ---
2,3,4 - 1,2,3,4,10,11 ---

Rosehill Race 7*
9 November Dreaming $25 ---
6 Seul Amour $45 ---
4,6,9 - 2,4,6,9,10,11 --- (F4 ---)
6,9,11 - 2,4,6,9,10,11 --- (F4 ---)

M.Valley Race 2*
3 Heavenly Pun $40 ---
1 Special Voyage $30 ---
1,3,9 - 1,3,4,6,7,9 WON $259.70
1,3,9 - 1,3,4,6,8,9 ---

M.Valley Race 4*
7 Live In Vain $40 ---
2 Azevedo $30 ---
2,5,7 - 2,5,6,7,9,10 ---
2,5,7 - 2,4,5,7,9,10 ---

M.Valley Race 9*
15 A Dreamer $45 ---
5 Medieval Legend $25 ---
4,5,15 - 2,4,5,6,9,15 ---
5,6,15 - 4,5,6,7,9,15 ---

Vic.Park Race 5*
4 Wavefront $45 WON $180
1 Tarnpir Lad $25 ---
1,2,4 - 1,2,4,5,10,13 ---
1,4,10 - 1,2,4,5,10,13 ---

Belmont Race 2*
4 Cat In A Hat $55 ---
1 Senate Lease $15 ---
1,4,8 - 1,2,3,4,6,8 ---
1,4,8 - 1,2,3,4,5,8 ---

Belmont Race 3*
3 Braakensiek $20 ---
1 Metaldale $50 ---
1,2,3 - 1,2,3,4,5,11 WON $14.40
1,2,3 - 1,2,3,4,5,11 WON $14.40

Toowoomba Race 2*
5 Mustang's Mate $50 WON $120
2 Fil The Bill $20 ---
1,2,5 - 1,2,3,5,6,9 ---
2,3,5 - 1,2,3,5,6,8 ---

Toowoomba Race 3*
2 Ebony Smile $55 WON $93.50
1 No Man's Land $15 ---
1,2,8 - 1,2,3,7,8,9 ---
1,2,8 - 1,2,3,5,8,11 WON $43.55

RESULTS SO FAR:

Win & trifecta bets using Unitab divs. Outlay so far $5700
Method 1: +$130.75
Method 2: +$335.55

First 4s using Unitab divs. Outlay so far $1035
Method 1: +$295.70
Method 2: +$284.65

Unfortunately, I couldn't update the IAS figures today.

Anyway, the win selections today were ABSOLUTELY PATHETIC and I apologise to anyone who may have backed them. Shocking! A couple of good trifectas meant that it wasn't a total disaster, but all in all extremely disappointing.

I'm going to have a rethink about the way I'm going with this experiment. I know that the figures say I'm still in profit, but I don't like the way things are heading. I've learnt from the last few days that the most important thing of all is value. You may say that that's obvious, but it's easier said than done for someone like me to change their betting habits. In the past, I've definitely been influenced WAY too much by public opinion with my betting, when of course the best way to get good value is to go against public opinion.

What's really made me have a serious rethink is today's tipping comp results. This afternoon, I just quickly picked out some horses which I thought might have a chance of getting up at nice odds. Well, I ended up getting two nice winners, as well as placings in the other 3 races. Certainly FAR better results than I got with these selections on here. So from now on I'm going for value all the way. The only thing is I have to work out the best method to exploit the value. I'm going to look at it a bit more over the next week or so.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-09-12 04:10 ]