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Old 6th July 2002, 10:42 PM
hermes hermes is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bendigo
Posts: 236
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Thanks for the tip Bhagwan.

System started off well today but fell in a heap at the end.

Rose Hill R1 #1 Eastwest Success - Win $2.70, P. $1.30.
R2 #5 Prsently - 4.40/1.40
Flem R3 #4 Malu, 3.10 the place.
Sunshine R3 #10 Sequently, 4.40 the place.
Sunshine R4 #3 Jestica 8.40/2.00
Rosehill R5 #6 Bringing Joy, 1.40 the place.
Flem R5 #5 The Big Ask - 5.30/2.20 (A great win! Great race!)
Then a loooong run of outs.
Until Flem R8 #6 Freegold, 3.90 place.
Chelt.R7 #6 Court Hero, 4.20/1.80


Pulled in some goodies, but too many outs on the day. At each way $1, $4. Outlay $125. Return = $112.80. Betting win only = exactly even.

Collating results, and despite what I wrote earlier in this topic, win only looks the better way with this mix, doesn't it? But you get substantial runs of outs before it puts you ahead. Going through a few weeks results now, each way betting is poor value - just behind. Win only has us in front, pulling in some good wins. Long term prospects doubtful I reckon. What do you think Bhjagwan? Can I make anything of this?

THE GUNGADIN FACTOR

A refinement to the system. There must be a way to filter out the likes of Sunshine Coast R1 #11 Gungadin, a selection in this sysatem. I know we are looking for the occasional long shot, but Gungadin is too much. We can squeeze extra value out of this system by eliminating runners like Gungadin, a wasted bet, the longest of long shots.

So eliminate horses with the Gungadin factor:

*The bottom average prizewinners.

If your lowest numbered last start winner has the worst average prizewinnings in the race, forget it.

That will leave the happy mix of all-sorts and take care of Gungadin.

Hermes

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