the barrier draw has really changed my thoughts on the race so really happy to see your barrier stats post as it confirms what I was thinking.

Barriers matter in a race with 24 horses especially when you get up past the 15+ barrier.

I think I would be looking at the horses in the top 3 levels of your ratings (7-9 points) as the winner is mor than likely to come from there. Pondus seems to be underrated by the public so he would be my early thought for some value.