View Single Post
  #61  
Old 1st November 2021, 07:08 PM
walkermac walkermac is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 605
Default

No Conduit Mare stuff this year I used to get them from pedigreequery but my membership has lapsed and they don't mention conduit mares anywhere nor have them appear on the example chart anymore, so didn't bother renewing. I tried to do a couple manually but too many mares were missing.

So to replace the "magic 17" number, I present: each runner's Physical biorhythm percentage. The higher the number the better. It's supposed to be for humans, but why not 'not work' for all species?


HORSEDOBPHYS%SIREDAMDOSAGE PROFILEINDEXCD
TWILIGHT PAYMENT06-May-2013-73%TEOFILODREAM ON BUDDY1-4-15-6-00.930
INCENTIVISE 22-Oct-2016-73%SHAMUS AWARDMISS ARGYLE9-7-7-2-130.81
SPANISH MISSION06-Apr-2016-14%NOBLE MISSIONLIMONAR4-3-22-7-010.11
VERRY ELLEEGANT12-Oct-201598%ZEDOPULENCE1-7-19-1-41.210
EXPLOSIVE JACK09-Nov-201798%JAKKALBERRYEXTRA EXPLOSIVE1-4-4-1-02.330.5
THE CHOSEN ONE30-Sep-2015-100%SAVABEELTHE GLITZY ONE6-15-19-2-41.970.37
DELPHI31-Jan-201714%GALILEOBYE BYE BIRDIE4-1-17-14-00.6-0.14
OCEAN BILLY05-Oct-2015-14%OCEAN PARKCOOL STORM1-13-11-1-22.290.36
SELINO05-May-2016100%CHAMPS ELYSEESAIR KISS1-15-17-1-02.580.47
JOHNNY GET ANGRY09-Nov-201798%TAVISTOCKLUMINOVA2-6-20-8-40.82-0.15
KNIGHTS ORDER05-May-201589%SO YOU THINKLAMANKA LASS6-6-21-9-01.150.21
PERSAN 22-Sep-201689%PIERROOFCOURSEICAN7-15-3-2-15.220.89
CARIF 13-Sep-201514%SO YOU THINKNORZITA2-13-19-6-01.580.28
MASTER OF WINE13-Apr-201573%MAXIOSMAGMA4-0-16-8-00.750
PONDUS08-Feb-201627%SEA THE MOONDIABLERETTE1-3-13-3-20.91-0.09
GRAND PROMENADE01-Mar-201652%CHAMPS ELYSEESZACCHERA3-8-13-0-02.690.58
MIAMI BOUND07-Nov-201689%RELIABLE MANARAPAHO MISS2-11-10-6-11.50.23
PORT GUILLAUME29-Mar-20170%LE HAVREKEIRA2-1-3-2-01.290.38
SHE'S IDEEL 05-Oct-2015-14%DUNDEELANA'S MAIL8-4-26-4-21.320.27
FUTURE SCORE28-Apr-201514%CAPE CROSSTHEOLA1-7-23-1-01.560.25
TRALEE ROSE13-Oct-2016100%TAVISTOCKSTAR OF TRALEE2-5-24-9-40.76-0.18
FLOATING ARTIST29-Feb-201673%NATHANIELMISS KENTON2-6-16-6-01.140.13
GREAT HOUSE28-Dec-2016-27%GALILEOANJA4-15-17-12-01.340.23
SIR LUCAN24-Feb-2018-40%CAMELOTSPARROW3-2-15-10-00.71-0.07


Obviously the biorhythm figure is pseudoscience - unless it works. And you can say much the same regarding dosage, as well. If you were an adherent though, you'd be looking for:

  • From left to right, the "average" 3200m race winner would have a profile like (5-5-15-4-2) (not to say that any one winner looks like that, just that all the individual numbers average out to those figures)
  • Some numbers in the rightmost position would be particularly handy (this indicates that one/some of those ancestors tended to pass on long distance prowess; though that wouldn't help much if turns into a sit and sprint)
  • An index of around 1.94
  • A CD of around 0.22
Taking all that nonsense into account, along with form, weight swings and the number I first thought of: Floating Artist looks pretty alright. Bonus: he's on the top rung of "the system", is an Aspro System pick, and has a good barrier draw...

I think I might have a 50c E/W bet on him. I wager that the bookmaker that has seemingly blocked my IP address will regret their decision now... Wasn't even scraping data from them! What's with that?!

Delphi's odds have come in and would go up a ladder rung. Note, however, that Pondus may extend the ladder higher and become the only one to score a perfect 10 in 'the system'. His odds are currently $26 at Ladbrokes (which I can still look at) but were at $21 briefly.

Both Delphi and Future Score are being examined tomorrow after exhibiting signs of lameness this morning.

Here are my picks:
1st - Floating Artist
2nd - Pondus
3rd - Sir Lucan
4th - Spanish Mission

If I can wrangle a bonus bet I'll probably put it on Incentivise, to give you some idea of the confidence I have in the above! LOL
Reply With Quote