Sportz, someone who bets on home dogs is not someone I'd call blunt :wink:

Overall home dogs in AFL have hit 60% over the last 3 years for a POT of around 15%.

Overall home dogs in NRL 57.5% for a POT of 10%.

In super 12s I'm not sure about the numbers, but I'm pretty sure home dogs are a very good bet as well.

At the worst you're a sharp square (yep, square = a mug punter).