morrisey: I have to disagree. Man Utd. failed to beat Middlesbrough at home, to me this is an indication that they cannot beat Arsenal.

I do remember last season when Man Utd. should have won, with Ruud's penalty miss towards the end (with the score 1-1).

I was thinking of laying Arsenal when they play Man Utd. but instead I'm just going to sit back and enjoy.

About your system, I think it can be improved. This may sound stupid but... just bet on all the matches broadcasted by Foxtel to have under 2.5 goals. For some reason they are always boring. e.g. this week.
Southampton - Man City (0-0)
Everton - Tottenham (0-1)
Chelsea - Liverpool (1-0)
Crystal Palace - Fulham (2-0)

I may test it next time, but obviously if a team like Arsenal is playing I won't bet on under 2.5 goals.

Another risky system could be to back all the matches to be draws, with the exception of Arsenal (or any other games that are locks). This week there were 5 draws, so hyperthetically if you bet on 8 matches to be draws (Arsenal and Chelsea exceptions) at prices of $3.20..

$5 x 8 = $40.
$5 x $3.20 = $16
$16 x 5 = $80
That's practically odds of 1/1. It's something to think about.

Also.. I hope nobody took notice of my tip of Crystal Palace vs. Fulham, I got it completely wrong.

Thanks.

[ This Message was edited by: knowledge on 2004-10-06 15:29 ]