Thread: A Simple System
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Old 8th October 2004, 07:00 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
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Hi, Moeee.

I have taken scratchings into account, so that if no.1 is scratched no.2 then becomes the topweight. Also nos.4, 5, 6 etc were a couple of times included in the results depending on the amount of scratchings. The breakdown of the 34 races is:

Topweight - 13 winners for a return of $52.20.

2nd Topweight - 7 winners for a return of $24.30

3rd Topweight - 6 winners for a return of 46.60.

There were two winners ($21.50 and $8.20) not included in the above results because even though they were both TAB no.2 there was the late scratching of no.1 in both races. So no.2 was in fact the topweight, but at the time of betting no.1 would have been regarded as the topweight.
Only backing TAB nos. 1, 2, and 3 as you have requested as rules 5, 6, and 7 would also have been successful but slightly less profitable as opposed to backing the three topweights after scratchings have been accounted for.

I only had very few metropolitan races to look at. Last Sat the results were:
Randwick R2 - winner of $4.50
Randwick R6 - lost.
Flemington R2 - winner of $9.60
Dombeen R2 - lost.
Result: $12 bet - $14.10 return

Monday 4 Oct
Warwick F. R1 - winner of $1.70
Eagle F. R7 - lost
Eagle F. R8 - winner of $6.90
Result: $9 bet - $8.60 return

Last night
Canterbury R1 - winner of $2.50
M.valley R1 - winner $6.60
M.Valley R2 - lost.
Result: $9 bet - $9.10 return

Overall, a small profit. I will record these races also, but separate to the lower class races.

Boxing the three selections in quinellas have produced a profit too, but the strike rate is only about 26%. Yesterday the only race in the system struck the quinella of $15, and last Saturday the system had the Flemington R2 quinella of $26.

I will post the daily selections here on the forum in case any one is interested.
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