I like Confectioner which ran very well inTurnbull when lost by 1.75 length to Elvstroem. Now he is getting 1.5Kg better than Elv. Shane Dye should do the job for Tony McEvoy who are in great form. From Barrier 10 is perfect for Conf. Still rate Elv as the main danger and 4 other outsider (Grey Song, Vouvray, Mummify and Hugs Dancer) as the other place getter.

For Balmuse, barrier 2 might be to inside for him as he might get trapped as he is a backmarker.