Thread: Statistics!!!!
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Old 17th July 2002, 07:05 PM
TESTAROSSA TESTAROSSA is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Wyong , NSW
Posts: 1,139
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I have a opinion about all these statistics thrown around the forum , i.e 31% of winners raced within 1-7 days or 64% of winners have the TAB no 1-5 etc.

People may not agree with this opinion and any criticism would be welcomed but i think statistics are pretty much a complete waste of time.

No successful plan (long term) would have rules based on past statistics , sure these plans based on statistics might work short term , but long term NO.

I have been using statistics for about 6 years since i was 15 trying to come up with "The Perfect Plan" , statistics such as Days since L.S or Weight increase or decrease since L.S or beaten lengths L.S , but the fact is after a significant amount of races these statistics can alter significantly therefore sometimes rendering these plans useless.

A successful plan i think is a point based plan where every runner is given points based on the rules and then added up , with the highest one being the selection , i have recently come up with a plan like this and it is the most successful plan SHORT TERM then any of the many other plans i have created in the past , hopefully it works long term as well and i feel confident it will.

Any thoughts or criticisms gladly welcomed.
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