OK, I think I've stuffed up the std dev here, but, on tonight Wildcats-Crocs game, I have the following :

Pr <208.5 = 0.62 or $1.60

Suggestion here is to bet the <208.5 at the $1.90

Also only able to find 2 years worth of stats, but, it's all a learning experience, so, we'll just see how we go!