Thread: Time Analysis.
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Old 29th July 2002, 01:14 PM
TESTAROSSA TESTAROSSA is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Wyong , NSW
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Does anyone put any kind of emphasis on analysing times?

I myself use times as one of the most important factors in determining the form , but not the actual race time run.

I take the time run minus the last 600m run divided by the distance minus 600m and then add that number to the last 600m run divided by six then take the first number and divide that with the second number.

I know that doesn't make sense worded like that so here is an example:

Smart Chariots last race was Sunshine Coast Guineas the time was 1:35:08 for 1600m OR expressed better as 9508 , the last 400 was 2402.
Since i like to take 600m as a better guide i take 2402 and divide by 4 and times that by 6 resulting in 3603.

So we take the overall time (9508) and minus it by the last 600m (3603) resulting in 5905 , divide that number by ten (16-6) equalling 590.

Take the 590 number and add the 600m time divided by 6 (3603 divide by 6) = 600 + 590 =1190 , now divide the 590 number into the 1190 and the result equals 49.5 rounded off.

Hence the first part of the race contributed to 50.5% of the total and the last part 49.5% meaning for a 1600m race they went very fast for the first part of the race in a 19 horse field it would have been hard for any horse in the first half of the field to stick on in the straight , looking at smart chariots form it was 7th at 800m and 4th at 400m and it won by a length which is a very very good win considering it came from barrier 15.

Subsequently it won on Saturday even though coming back in distance i made it a special.

Coincidentally Clanger also came from that race being 6th at 800m and 7th at 400m finishing only 2 lengths from Smart Chariot , it then raced in a slightly worst class race and won at 10/1 incredible odds based on its last start run.

I know this might sound pretty complicated but it is a very good way to work out the form.

The only problem is when you first start working out what times are fast and slow on all the different tracks , after doing this for over 2 years i am pretty confident i have very track worked out time wise.

Any comments or suggestions much appreciated.
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