Thread: Time Analysis.
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Old 29th July 2002, 01:49 PM
TESTAROSSA TESTAROSSA is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Wyong , NSW
Posts: 1,139
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EI ,

Thanks for the feedback.

I usually watch all the replays on Sky Racing and jot down the unlucky horses in running , i then use the Sunday telegraph for saturdays results and work out the Times as mentioned above for each race and work out which ones were slowly run up front , evenly run up front or quickly run up front and work which horses were advantaged or disadvantaged by the times run in there respective race.

Once i work out that i watch the replays that i taped the night before and watch every horse i have marked , thus working out which horses to watch out for next time.

This however is not the only thing i use in working out the form , i also use barriers , days since last run , distances , my own class ratings for last 4 runs and weights carried in the last 4 runs by each horse.

I use these as a rating for every horse and take the top 4 rated in the race and apply my time analysis (the top 4 rated win about 80% of races.)

Thus on saturday Superfine was rated 2 points higher then any other runner and using the time analysis i figured its last few runs were at a disadvantage for his racing style. I backed it and it duly saluted at 20/1.

Another example was Sovereign Echo in race 7 at Adelaideit was rated a clear third choice behind Jezarich and Serai , both first up i decided to shy away from those 2 and back Sovereign Echo who ran 3rd last start at the same distance and track and on similar conditions to this.It won and paid at ridiculous odds of 33/1 (Jezarich finished a fast finishing 3rd at 12/1).

This rating approach i have only started in the last month or so , but it has served me very well so far.It may not work for other people but it works for me which is the most important thing isn't it EI (RE: your stable system which was shot down by some.)

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