Testarossa, I see what you're doing and I do a similar thing. I recently got back into this and did some reading. One of the things I read I really enjoyed. It talked about seeing the race before it was run. There were three types of horses, the sprinters, the closers and the runners. Sprinters thunder out of the gate hungry for the lead. Runners are methodical in their even pace through to the end. Closers hang back waiting for the opening.

One or two sprinters will vault ahead and enjoy a little friendly competition to the finish line. But if there are too many they burn each other out letting the runners through. And if they aren't fast enough those closers come from 8th or further to end up with the win or place.

When I'm paying attention this seems to paint an interesting story that plays out on the track. However, it's easy to miss out on details with all those facts to keep track of. Your more mechanical way of representing the information for analysis is very interesting. I'll try it and add a 'confidence factor' based on the comments and other items such as change in class, weight and distance.

A sincere thanks (since this is close to how I do it already),

Duck