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Old 23rd November 2004, 04:29 PM
foggy foggy is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: South West Sydney
Posts: 37
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TenFour,

Sorry, the stats I supplied yesterday was for horses that ran 2nd at their 2nd last start not placed 3rd or 2nd. Revised stats below:-

Sel = 2985
Wins = 556
Win P/L = -21.9%
Place P/L = -15.5%
Race s/r = 20%
Longest Losing win seq = 30
Longest losing place seq = 13

A little better than yesterday's stats for last start winners.

Stats for last start beaten fav:-

Sel = 711
wins = 170
Win P/L = -12.5%
Place P/L = -7%
Race s/r = 24.8%
LLWS = 15
LLPS = 9

A further improvement and the top 3 place strike rated horses have an approx 30% strike rate.

After adding a couple of filters to the last set of stats of:-

-beaten mgn of no more than 3.5 lengths
-place rank of 1 to 3
-pre-post rank of 1 to 3

stats are:-

sel = 381
wins = 129
Win P/L = +7%
Place P/L = +1.4%
RSR = 34.3%
LLWS = 11
LLPS = 5

Of course this is all retrospective - would it work in the future as good as this?

From the amount of ideas I have come up with from using the database program, I have found that this is not always so. As most on this forum would agree, retrospectively fiiting rules around results does not neccesarily mean instant profits.

Good luck.
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