
9th August 2002, 11:36 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 740
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Plugga,
I had thought that the strike rate of favs would improve when eliminating maidens right up to Open class, Hurdles etc.
No the strike rate remains exactly the same!
Shane Dye was quoted about five years ago saying that if you had one bet for the year on the Cox Plate on the favourite, you would come out ahead.
Again not true. It worked for about five years as a string of favs won. However, the numbers always seem to even themselves out over any decent duration of time. Anywhere between 30-40% is the strike rate.
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