
20th December 2004, 09:40 PM
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Member.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,266
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Benny,
I've worked out that prices table for Soccer. Word of warning though. I don't have anywhere near as much experience with Soccer prices as the AFL, NRL etc and the Draw option does make it a touch tricky. Even so, I've had a bit of a go and come up with something. I've rounded off the margins to the nearest quarter of a point. So let's say you work out Team A is rated 2.23 points ahead of Team B. You would go down to 2.25 and it says Team A should be $1.47, the Draw $4.80 and Team B $9.00. Looks a little harsh on Team B really, but after looking at some Soccer odds over the last week or so, these prices seem to work out okay. I didn't go down any further than 7 goals. Shouldn't need to go down any further than about 5 or 6 really.
Rated
Margin - Team A - Draw - Team B
0 Goals - $2.85 - $3.35 - $2.85
0.25.... - $2.57 - $3.40 - $3.17
0.50.... - $2.35 - $3.45 - $3.55
0.75.... - $2.15 - $3.50 - $4.00
1 Goal.. - $2.00 - $3.60 - $4.50
1.25.... - $1.87 - $3.70 - $5.10
1.50.... - $1.75 - $3.90 - $5.85
1.75.... - $1.65 - $4.10 - $6.70
2 Goals - $1.55 - $4.45 - $7.70
2.25.... - $1.47 - $4.80 - $9.00
2.50.... - $1.40 - $5.20 - $10.50
2.75.... - $1.35 - $5.70 - $12.00
3 Goals - $1.30 - $6.30 - $14.00
3.25.... - $1.26 - $7.00 - $16.30
3.50.... - $1.22 - $7.80 - $19.00
3.75.... - $1.19 - $8.80 - $22.00
4 Goals - $1.16 - $10.00 - $25.00
4.25.... - $1.14 - $11.40 - $30.00
4.50.... - $1.12 - $13.00 - $35.00
4.75.... - $1.10 - $15.00 - $40.00
5 Goals - $1.09 - $17.00 - $46.00
5.50.... - $1.08 - $20.00 - $51.00
6 Goals - $1.07 - $23.00 - $56.00
6.50.... - $1.06 - $27.00 - $66.00
7 Goals - $1.05 - $33.00 - $76.00
Remember, that as well as those Ratings that I worked out (which you can update after each round), I also think it's important to give the home team an extra goal for home ground advantage. The games in this round have worked out pretty close to how they were rated, so it's looking okay so far.
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