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Old 22nd December 2004, 10:52 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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Interesting. That's a form of dutch book I suppose I would be right in saying?

Interested to know - how do you decide which horses cannot win? When I ask that I mean for you to go beyond the pale - do not state the obvious about well worn paths of form analysis, do you have any new insights to add about horses which you feel cannot win? I ask this because the best value races (as I am sure you already know) are those in which you find a fancied runner, preferably the fave, who you can confidently and with solid evidence declare has no hope. Those are always the best betting races because if you're right you're "buying their dollars for 75 cents", to quote Pittsburgh Phil. However, not enough faves have no hope, so for the rest of the time we usually have to grind away being smart and disciplined enough to make a percentage. Would you agree? Your thoughts on this are very interesting and let me say I am very glad I found this forum.

Duritz.
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