Quote:
Originally Posted by Imagele
For what it is worth, why go to all the trouble of doing your own ratings when a site such as Ozeform has a rating figure for every run a horse has had in it's entire career. I have been using this facility exclusively for about 2 years and my method is to keep it very simple.
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Actually, that's EXACTLY what I was planning on doing. When I said 'doing ratings', I meant simply using Ozeform's ratings figures and adding a couple of small bonuses or penalties of my own. Above all, I want to keep it SIMPLE, because I reckon you can think too much about these sorts of things and get yourself all confused. If you keep it basic and simple, you lessen that confusion.
I've only been looking at them again for a little while and just using the horse's last run would have been quite effective in the races I've looked at. Now that seem's TOO simple to work long term. I'm going to have to look at it a bit more closely over the next few days, because I'm planning on starting to use something like this come January 1.
By the way, when it came to horses resuming, I was simply using the rating from their previous first-up run, providing it wasn't out of the ordinary from it's other first-up runs. I reckon there's probably a better alternative than that? With horses 2nd up, I looked at their previous 2nd up runs to see how much improvement they made after their first-up runs and then simply added that amount on to their last start.
As for that race yesterday, simply using the last run, Power And Faith came out on top and Valashka was only rated equal 5th. Rocketeer AND Parliament both rated fairly highly considering they weren't really given much hope in the betting. The first4 paid $20000 and it certainly wasn't impossible to get. Then again, it's easy when you're looking at them AFTER the race has been run.
Oh, are you sure about the apprentice jockey's allowances? How has that worked for you in your ratings? Has it been a big help?