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Old 23rd December 2004, 12:51 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
Smile darkydog2002

SYLLABUS 23.My pleasure.

PARTYPOOPER.I Have a number of breakdown of winning stats around here somewhere but a few close at hand are.
73 % of races are won by horses with 1st /2nd or 3rd placings in at least one of their last 2 starts.
30.8 % of winners had finished 1st at one of their previous 2 starts.
29.1 % had finished 3rd had one of their last 2.
67.5 % of all winners had their immediate last start within 14 days.

I will try to dig a few more up after Xmas as things are a bit hectic at the moment.
My feeling is that if one were to combine STATISTICS with WEIGHT /TIME /CLASS /FIELD STRENGTH RATINGS from a reliable source one would have the basis of a RELIABLE selection method.
Cheers.
darky.
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