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Old 12th August 2002, 03:27 PM
becareful becareful is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
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ThePedro,

Yes - my average div is just over $12. The reason this is a bit below the midpoint of 8-25 is that I require a higher overlay on the higher divs and there are some extra criteria that I apply on the ones over about $14 so this means I have more bets and divs in the $8-$14 range than the $14-$25 range.

Since I started actively betting on this in March I have made several revisions to the system based on my experiences so the POT recently is higher than the overall average. For example POT since start of June is 30% (this includes my bad period in July), POT for last two weeks is 50%. I have accurate price data (before and after jump prices) in my database from January this year which I test any changes against and less accurate data (after jump price only) for several years - POT is a bit higher on paper than I am getting at the moment but I am pretty happy with 20-30% :grin: When I originally started I was hoping for 10-15%! I have placed about 1500 bets since March so I am fairly confident that the POT figure is not just luck!

I have done a lot of analysis on working out the overlays required for different prices, etc, and this is why I have higher overlays required on the longer odds horses. I can increase my POT (on paper anyway) by increasing overlay required but it dramatically cuts the turnover so although POT is higher my net profit goes down through reduced bets (and boredom level goes up!)

And no - the system is not for sale!

Plugga1976 - As I only generally bet on weekday races Divi-plus is not available on the majority of the races I bet on. Also I don't like the requirement to bet 60 seconds prior to jump with IAS - almost all my bets are placed with 10 seconds of the start. I do have accounts with all three TABs and try to place my bet with the TAB offering highest dividend.
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