
15th January 2005, 10:55 AM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 17
|
|
An answer to my original post in this thread is as follows: Size of sample 569 meetings from all states except WA & Tas. No of consecutive favs winning=179 (31.5%) . An interesting sidelight is that a fav won the first race on 228 occasions (40.1%). I find this stat interesting in as much as the first race on a program is invariably a maiden, 2 y.o. or a jump. Races which most of the time we are told to steer clear of. I also looked at Bhagwan’s idea of stopping after 4 outs. Thinking along the line that even if the 4th bet does get up, and by being fav you would probably lose on the day anyway. My findings were that it would still (probably) be economical stop after 3 outs. The results show that the combinations of a fav followed by a fav OR a fav followed by a miss then a fav OR a fav followed by two misses followed followed by a fav won on 367 occasions
|