Thread: Carlyon
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Old 24th January 2005, 06:56 AM
topsy99 topsy99 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: geeveston
Posts: 702
Default betting on reputation

many short priced favorites are backed on reputation and not on the conditions of the race.
yesterday in launceston there was two short priced favorites in the main races.
one from adelaide and fine omens a tasmanian that has won in melbourne.
before fine omens race i commented that his last two wins were at flemington on wet tracks and was strange to see him so short yesterday.
he finished 3rd last on a dry track.
he also has not placed in a group or listed race since march 03 which is a fair while so he was over bet significantly yesterday.
the horse that won the race from barrier one looked the goods and duly saluted.

in the case of super elegant he hadnt done a lot wrong had he.
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