Hermes,

No I didn't distinguish between runners per race with any of the analysis so if there were 2 qualifiers in a single race I assumed that we backed both of them. Personally I don't think there is a problem with backing 2 or even 3 $10+ runners in a race (different if you are looking at $5 shots) and trying to eliminate runners can get rid of just as many winners as losers.

On NSW figures with 99/100 raters we had 325 selections for 556 in divs. If we include the 96,97,98 rated runners we get an additional 878 selections (so 1203 in total) and an additional 965 divs (so 1511 in total) so the POT on the 96,97,98 selections is about 10%. Not too bad but way below the 71% POT on the 99/100 raters. Again this is with no elimination of double/triple selections.

I don't know how the QTab ratings are calculated so I don't know if the track condition filter is surprising or not. If the ratings do not consider track condition then it is probably not suprising they are less accurate on wet tracks? Personally my own system works better on Good/Fast tracks (although it also works fine on Dead but not very good on Slow/Heavy) so it seemed a reasonable filter to me!

Just had a look at the "selections" for last couple of weeks based on 99/100.

For last week there were 13 selections but no winners.

For week beginning 12/8 we had 18 selections (0 Mon, 1 Tue, 8 Wed, 3 Thu, 6 Fri) with 4 winners. There was 1 double selection (SR8 on 14/8 - 7 Quadri rated 100 and 10 Think On rated 99. Think On won so eliminating based on TAB No or lower rating would have got rid of the wrong one). The winners were:
14/8 SR8 10(Think On) - $12.00
15/8 BR3 10(New Method) - $18.50
16/8 BR3 8 (Toobanna) - $11.50
16/8 BR8 2 (Credit Limit) - $17.40

The previous week (5/8) we had 15 selections and 3 winners. There were 2 double selections and in both cases one of the selections won! The winners were:
5/8 MR2 4 (Limerick Belle) - $11.70
7/8 BR1 10 (Kananga) - $13.00 (also 6 Diamond Zoff)
7/8 WR7 5 (Great Fingall) - $12.10 (also 3 Mikis Prospector)

_________________
"So certain are you. Always with you it cannot be done. Hear you nothing that I say?" - Yoda

[ This Message was edited by: becareful on 2002-08-25 10:29 ]