Noble Red looks a great bet in this even affair. Huge effort to win first up from well over a year with 58kg's in a substandard race however. Drops 6kg here, is drawn well, step up in distance ideal, will go pretty close IMO. I think Lad might be the best horse in the race however i am not convinced he goes to well fresh, his record says he does but first up last Prep he won by a whisker in the country carrying an almost identical weight as he does here.