
29th January 2005, 11:16 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
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Yeah I don't think I was really getting my point across with that making a system for humans stuff. I read it at the time and got a bit confused myself.... And you're right - horses aren't as complex as us, but they're probably more unpredictable than us because at least we have the ability to think rationally. (though often not at the track) Without getting into detail as it's 11.14 am on Sat and I am just starting the form for today (!) I think form analysis begins as soon as you have to make a decision on a horse, like do I think it can get the trip etc. There are no doubt levels of form analysis, and of course people mix analysis and rules. One that comes to mind is anyone who looks at the top five in the market and does the form solely on them. That's a system and form analysis combined. What I don't think can win long term is a purely mechanical system, no input from the human. My old man hates having to make a decision because he's always fearful of "pulling the wrong rein". In that respect he prefers systems.
(Ironically, lately he just bets on my ratings which is for him I suppose a system, which therefore means I must be convinced it can't win lol!)
Anyway, we'll no doubt chat more about this.
Good luck today.
Duritz.
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