31st January 2005, 08:51 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
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Actually, I have thought of a better way to put it!!! Think on this!!!!
Say you build a robot horse. This robot horse runs 1600m exactly the same every time. He expends the exact same amount of battery running exactly the same speed every single time he does it. Without fail.
So - RoboHorse does this run one week in a WFA listed race at Flemington with 57kgs, and wins by a short half head. The next week, in another WFA listed race carrying 57kgs again he does his same run and runs fourth beaten 2 lengths.
How would your ratings method rate my RoboHorse? And if your rating method would have him returning an inferior rating at his second one, isn't it coming up with the wrong ratings?
If the ratings method just said "The class figure for a listed wfa race at flemingon is 64 kgs, he carried 6 over the limit, so week one he rates 70, week two though he rates 67 due to the margin" then it is WRONG, because RoboHorse does the same rating every week.
This is what I am getting at - because surely if a fourth beaten 2 lengths can be the same rating as a win (as it can with RoboHorse) then surely a second beaten 5 can be better than a sixth beaten 4.
Duritz.
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