What I do is find what it CAN rate given today's circumstances, ie it's peak rating, first. I don't go back miles and miles for it, just this and last prep only, and if more than about 6 or 7 runs this prep, just this prep, unless there's excuses. Then, I adjust, given the likelihood of doing it. If it is very likely to do the rating (ie is consistent, has been doing it lately), I'll bonus it a little, if it very seldom does that figure, i'll penalise it. If there is a significant jockey change, slight bonus or penalty.

At least half the problem is getting your ratings RIGHT. If they're wrong, doesn't matter what method you use to handicap, you ain't gunna win. Then, the other half is punting them right. best way is still scott's old way, and bird's by the sound of it - price 'em, bet the overs.

Cheers to that, amen, testify!

Duritz