10th February 2005, 01:36 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,432
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Duritz
However those stats are on favourites. What the meaning of the post is, is that when assessing the form, th middle distance races have less question marks. From my experience this is true. Less question marks makes for a more confident set of selections. That surely makes for better punting.
|
A valid point Duritz,
I used favourites as a guideline.
Of course the form may be harder to do, but seeing as the best guide to a horse's chances is it's market price, the public gets it right just as much over shorter distances as in long.
This is what I was trying to demonstrate. In a nutshell, my systems do not perform any better or worse over various distances. They are mechanical though.
Perhaps jump or drop in distance is the factor which makes it harder,as many fresh horse's hitout below 1400m before gaining real race fitness to perform later on.
Another furphy, is the second up from a spell hoodoo. It does not exist!
In fact, my figures reflect that third up from a spell is worse performing than second up. But that's another topic... |