10th February 2005, 02:07 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Duritz
Hey I got one for you - can you research this one?
How many second uppers, having won first up, win again, or run unplaced etc, what is the ROI.
If I were a betting man (I love saying that), I'd bet on a very bad result.
Duritz
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2ND up under your criteria
17.20% WIN S/R
-15.26% LOT
3RD UP under your criteria (I.E they won 2nd up and are having they're third run)
15.77% WIN S/R
-18.28% LOT
AND 3rd up but won first up
16.32% WIN S/R
-6.23% LOT
But this includes horses that won first up AND second up.
3RD up from a spell is clearly worse than second up.
2nd up from a spell is certanly no worse than first or third up.
Another furphy  |