2/1 Uni Prince in the Melbourne Cup! Come off it.You can't ignore history ... the last Derby winner to win the Cup at 4 was Phar Lap 71 years ago! Universal Prince has a strike rate of about 20-25% and you'll take 2's in a field of 24? Will he run 2 miles? Will Sheehan butcher him? Will he be a Tie The Knot style tragedy beaten?
Yeah he might win but he's a 4-5/1 chance at best.
The Cup winner may be lurking around running 6ths and 7ths at the moment ready to peak over 3200 in 12 days time.
E.G. Who picked Brew before the MV Cup last year as the Melb Cup winner?
For mine, grab the 50's Caitano before Saturday. If he does nothing it is all that's expected and his price won't change. If he gets home they'll cut him to 12/1. The European horses don't go as bad as some think. For example Central Park beaten a lip, Travelmate unlucky 4th, Persian Punch 3rd, Taufan's Melody 4th, Yorkshire 5th, Harbour Dues 4th, Vintage Crop (3 runs for win,3rd, unlucky 7th),Quick Ransom 4th. None of the aforementioned had better Group One form than Caitano.
Incidentally, he's not one of those 4000m plodders either; good mile and a half form and $3million+ prizemoney.