14th February 2005, 07:07 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,425
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Here's the Tas Tab form guide:
http://www.tastab.com.au/racebet/fo...num/default.asp
And here's the Unitab website:
http://www.tabonline.com.au/
On the Tas Tab form guide, click on a horse's name and it'll give you a complete form rundown for that horse including a rating for each run. The rating will be in the form of a number like 645 or 725 or something. To convert them to weight ratings, I simply slip a decimal point in there and make it 64.5 or 72.5. Technically speaking, doing that is probably not 100% accurate, but it's worked out okay for me. So, I get the two ratings I want and then average them out. In that instance, it would be 68.5.
Next, I add the horse's Unitab rating. These ratings are a score out of 100 on the right side of the screen beside each runner. Before using it in my ratings, I divide it by 2 though so it's a score out of 50 instead of out of 100. So, if the horse has a Unitab rtg of 93, I turn that into 46.5 and add that to the rating I have from the Tas Tab site. Then I add small bonuses and penalties depending on the days since last start, the jockey, the barrier and the state of the track. Once I've done that, I'll have a total from which I subtract the horse's handicap weight and what's left is the horse's rating for today's race.
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I must say it's very generous of you Sportz to outline your method in such detail, especially when you're leading this competition.
I've actually looked at the Unitab ratings and think it's really a great starting point, but does need something extra.
I'm not looking at this from a ratings point of view, rather what I need is an accurate prediction of the market price to some degree at least.
I've looked at wa tab prepost and it is a very rough guide only.
Thanks again.
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