1st September 2002, 10:49 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Perth WA
Posts: 814
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Good to hear you had a win Paddy, was actually at Belmont yesterday, and did finish in front on the day myself (even with the slow track). They changed the track rating officially to slow after race 5, but suggest it was already slow before this race, and on the worst side of dead for the majority of the meeting.
Uncle Brian in the first, ran on very well, but was well beaten.
Master Park finally found the post, Rain Lover.
topsy99, sorry, have no idea what all your margins etc mean. Have you posted some background info previously, or would you elaborate please.
Re your comments on Kentiara:
Firstly you need to remember I'm rating for a dead or better track. Race 7 was run on a slow track. Watched this race on course, other horses in this race handled the track condition on the day much better than both Anchor The Stars and Key Flyer.
Secondly I did rate Kentiara. I rate (where I have previous performance ratings) all starters. Only post top two rated (sometime 3) for each race. Where there is a number of equal top chances, normally select likely better value. eg. see my earlier comments re Son Of Vasac.
Finally, as it turns out I did back Kentiara myself. Kentiara was rated equal 3rd for this race, and only 1 length from top rated. Price offered for Kentiara exceeded what I had calculated to be true price, and being by a sire (Metal Storm) that does throw some wet track winners, I backed accordingly, and did have a nice win on this particular horse.
I welcome any further input, feedback or comment topsy99 (and others), after all that's what this forum is all about.
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All the best from the West
Sandgroper :smile:
[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2002-09-01 11:50 ]
[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2002-09-02 08:29 ]
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