
18th February 2005, 03:06 PM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Hi Party,
As a systems man I thought you might be interested, as there is a definite mechanical potential here.
The method hit me in a blinding flash when I was at work on yet another price line for a couple of races today and was considering the various SR's of some runners and thinking ...'theres has got to be an easier way' !!
When you think about it for a minute and get past the [monstrous] simplicity, well why shouldn't price be based on SR ? Of course I [or anyone else] can think of situations where the SR is misleading, such as older horses moving into twilight performance, or a runner being out of it's winning class, weight or distance etc., but looking at the overall picture of the majority of it's runs where the war is won, the method definitely has 'truth' going for it as far as a runners real odds go. Odds that are staring right at us, in the 'facts' of it's SR.
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