I for some time studied a lot of statistics and they can tend to give you a lot of confidence that what you are doing is right.

But what has to be remembered is that each race is an individual contest on its own. ie: in a given race No.1 may be an absolute moral but this would be due to other combined factors. The same may apply to No.14 on any other occasion.

I find stats can help to fine down the chances in a race but you then have to look at whether the stats are applying to a horse that actually has a chance in that race on that day.

What you will also find with any stat is that they cluster there winners. You will not find a stat that has a strike rate of 30% hitting three winners every ten runners. They cluster and that is what makes them hard to follow.

Good Punting